Category Archives: Weather

Downpour

The previous 24 hours of mist and drizzle and light rain was just fine – we’ve been falling into a drought this year, way behind on the normal Year-To-Date rainfall totals in SoCal.

This afternoon’s hour-long downpour inspired hours of blaring warnings on every TV channel, with a mudslide and flash flood warning that extended until well after the rain had actually abated.

No problems here, but we’re at the top of a hill. If we start getting flooded, there’s a guy named Noah who gets to tell the rest of the story. Our biggest concern would be intersections and streets flooded out down below the hills, and we can avoid most of that by simply staying home.

On the other hand, up in the mountains, it was snow. I’ve been watching the bald eagle webcam and they were buried, sitting on their three eggs:

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Returning Light

There were a bunch of weeks there in December and January where, if I was leaving the office about 17:45 and driving home, it was already pitch dark outside.

Yeah, I know what causes it, that whole “seasons,” and “axial tilt,” and “winter solstice” thing. Just sayin’, it was noticeably dark, early.

Tonight, leaving at 17:40 and driving west homeward, it really was noticeable that the sun was setting through the broken clouds, right in my eyes. The cyclic nature of that “axial tilt” thing had carried us past the solstice and we’re well on our way to the equinox next month.

The weather looks okay for the weekend, which will be nice for our Superb Owl party on Sunday, but there’s a lot more rain expected next week.

Good, we need it. I don’t want to get into another drought.

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Filed under Astronomy, Critters, Photography, Sunsets, Weather

Rain Stain

Drizzly & damp & cool. It never started raining hard enough to get the tree trunk in the back yard totally wet, but there was a dark water stain from where the water was draining down from the branches.

I’ve heard some folks are referring to these tiny moments of joy as “glimmers,” or “micro-joys.” It’s a little bit of a froufrou term, but I’m mellowing a lot in my old age.

These days we can all use as many glimmers as we can find. Look for yours!

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Sundog

Another “atmospheric river” is moving into Northern California and they’re expected to get clobbered this week – we’re going to catch the edge of it in SoCal, but it should still give us more than an inch of rain over three or four days. Let’s hope it’s gentle and doesn’t produce any mudslides or floods in the recently burned areas.

In advance of that storm, the sky was covered this afternoon with thin, high, wispy, icy clouds.

Looking toward the Sun as it was getting near the horizon, 22° of arc out, just above the roof and trees to the southwest, there was a rainbow-colored sundog.

Red on the sunward side, blue on the outside, there was probably another one on the opposite side of the Sun, but hidden by the house here.

There are some truly amazing images out there of extremely bright sundogs on opposite sides of the Sun, along with a 22° arc around the Sun. It’s all caused by the sunlight being scattered by the high altitude ice crystals, but watch out for fake and AI-generated images. It seems to be a favorite topic for fakes, probably because most folks don’t know what they really look like and get fooled.

When being awed by natural wonders, insist on the real thing!

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Cascading Failure Modes

We get three & four years of severe drought. Water rationing. Extreme limits on watering the lawn (unless you’re a golf course owned by a billionaire). Lawn, open areas, trees, all get brown and dry and ready to burn. We get brush fires.

Then we have two years of above-average rain. Good, now we can water the dirt in our yards. Everything out in the wildlife areas gets green and lush.

Another year of drought. All of that new green growth gets brown and dry and extremely flammable. We burn again, tens of thousands of acres in four major and a dozen-plus minor fires all over the city and county and Ventura County, Orange County, Riverside County, San Bernardino County, San Diego County… An area the size of New England is on extreme fire watch for weeks, THOUSANDS of homes and businesses are gone.

Mind you, because they’re not in the news every night, most people think those fires are out and done. They’re not. They’re just more or less contained and not threatening any more structures and homes. But as of right now the 23,448 acre Palisades fire is still only 85% contained. The 14,021 acre Eaton fire is at 95% containment.

Oh, good, here comes a few days of rain. That will help put out the fires.

Well, yes, it will, but…

This will be a “good” rain in that it should be mild, less than an inch of rain total over three days combined, with relatively little chance of any big downpours or thunderstorms with lightning, which could start new fires.

But we now have something on the order of 50,000 acres locally that’s newly burned, most of it in canyons and steep hillsides, and any hard rain will start to cause mudslides and flooding. Barren hillsides will erode like crazy with nothing left in the way of brush and trees to hold the topsoil together. It’s time for the next disaster in the chain!

On the other hand, listening to the rain in the night and smelling the petrichor is wonderful.

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Filed under Critters, Disasters, Los Angeles, Photography, Video, Weather

The Kenneth Fire

After two days of unprescedented windstorms driving a half-dozen massive brush fires in Los Angeles, with something on the order of 300,000+ people evacuated from their homes, 10,000+ homes and businesses destroyed, at least five dead with a total expected to climb significantly, multiple injured and burned people, it was starting to calm just a bit this morning. The winds were calmer, firefighters might get a chance to make some progress on containment. We were safe, we were fine.

That changed.

A little after 14:30, just maybe two miles from us as the crow flies, where Victory Boulevard ends at the Ventura County line and there are a whole slew of trails into the open parklands there, a brushfire started. About the time I started hearing a ton of sirens I got the alert from the Watch Duty app. New fire. West Hills.

The winds weren’t howling, but they weren’t calm either. Probably 8-10 knots with gusts to maybe 15. Fortunately for us, by 15:26 the winds were blowing the embers, ashes, and smoke away from us, toward Calabasas and Agoura.

Los Angeles and Ventura County fire fighters hit this one hard with aircraft, both the fixed wing water bombers and helicopters. You can see several here. I was out meeting with our neighbors, making sure that we all had each others’ phone numbers and names in case we had to scatter.

About this same time the Palisades Fire, over the ridge and off to the left in this view, shifted to the west and started moving up Topanga Canyon. That’s the massive smoke plume on the left. “Our” fire, now named “The Kenneth Fire” for some reason, is on the right.

The initial evacuations were southwest of us, south of the baseball fields on Valley Circle, past El Camino High School, pretty much all the way to the freeway. Bell Canyon, due west of us, was put on an evacuation warning, and we got a heads up to be ready. We started packing a half-dozen bags with medications, important documents, a change of clothes, a couple of my laptops and iPads, and my cameras.

I turned the cars around in the driveway so they could be driven straight out if needed. The bags were our two-minute evacuation plan – if we had ten minutes, the computers and external hard drives would follow. I wasn’t feeling particularly threatened or nervous, but there was definitely a “better safe than sorry” feel to it all. Several of the neighbors decided that they were going to leave, and did so. I heard from some later in the evening, asking if we had ever had to evacuate. (The unspoken question was, “Is our house still there?”) Most of us have been through this before at least a couple of times, and given the location of the fire and the winds at our backs, we were ready to bug out if needed, but sheltering in place for the moment.

The massive air assault worked. By 16:30, just two hours after it started, it was almost over, at least where we were.

The winds picked up once and there was a little bit of a flareup at the north end of the fire zone, but again, it was immediately buzzing with helicopters and water-dropping aircraft. The fire kept spreading to the south through open land, eventually covering just over 1,000 acres. But when it got close to houses and apartments and the 101 Freeway in Calabasas and Agoura, the air assault resumed on the southern edge of the fire and its threat was finally over.

By 17:20, just after sunset, it was over for us. (You can even see Venus in the twilight, just off the head of the streetlight.) We had our own personal little airshow going over for another three hours or so as the water-dropping aircraft went from the fire near the 101 Freeway to the Chatsworth Reservoir where they reloaded their water tanks. In particular there was a Chinook (CH-47) helicopter that kept going right over us and really rattling the windows.

It was wonderful, the sound of not having everything you own burn to the ground.

 (From the Watch Duty app)

We’re the blue dot in the upper right, about 1.4 miles from where the fire started. But it all went to the south, away from us, or we would be in a hotel tonight with nothing to our name except for what we had fled with. There are literally tens of thousands of people in Los Angeles tonight who are not as lucky as we were.

In closing, a word about Watch Duty. It’s a non-profit, a 501(c)(3), run with less than two dozen volunteers, many of them former firefighters. Throughout this event, and through previous events in Northern California last year, and the horrible tragedy in Maui last year, they have become THE definitive go-to source for timely, current, and accurate information on fire locations, evacuation orders and warnings, and available resources to help those in need due to a fire. The basic app is free – if you’re anywhere at all that might have a brushfire (and let’s face it, that’s just about anywhere these days), you need the app. And if you get it and can spare a few dollars, the paid version with a bunch of extra features and layers is less than $30/year. Please support good people doing good work.

I have nothing but eternal gratitude for all of the firefighters and pilots and crews that are working so tirelessly to keep us safe. With winds on Tuesday night of 100+ miles an hours, and a mountainous landscape that’s in serious drought conditions, they’re fighting an impossible battle, but continuing to fight anyway. I feel for all of the tens of thousands of fellow Southern Californians who tonight either have lost everything, or just don’t know yet if they have a home to go back to or not.

For me, that’s enough adrenalin for one day. Good night.

 

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Filed under Critters, Los Angeles, Photography, Sunsets, Weather

Haze & Drizzle

We started with mist, moved up to drizzle, and this evening we got to light rain.

A nice evening. Quiet. The occasional coyote and owl sounding off.

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Signs & Portents

Well, isn’t THIS just a fine fucking little nightmare!

I don’t even have words to start to express my disappointment and disgust with my fellow Americans.

Then I came out to this on the front porch this morning. It might have been an omen. Or is it a portent? Whatever.

Having the US flag ripping loose and hanging upside down seemed to be appropriate, especially with the leftover Halloween skeleton there.

(Image from ForeFlight app)

Probably not quite a sign from the gods – the winds had been pretty viscious all night. Whiteman was reporting winds at 45 knots, gusting to 60 knots, with Van Nuys, Camarillo, and Burbank all reporting similar readings.

If anyone has figured out what the silver lining or bright side to this debacle is, please let me know. I’ve got nothing.

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The Next Week

I’ve seen this meme a dozen places in the last 48 hours and it’s ringing so very, VERY true right now. Another one says, “It’s like the whole world is waiting for biopsy results on Tuesday.” That’s true too, although I’ve been feeling more like the characters in “Melancholia” or “Deep Impact” waiting for the comet or rogue planet to hit the Earth.

Let’s keep the faith, keep breathing, keep our sense of humor, and hope for a

over the next 72 hours.

In the meantime, we’ve been experiencing our first good windstorm of the winter, which meant that the roads this morning were littered with palm fronds (which can shred a tire in an instant), small tree branches, tumbleweeds, and the odd, migrating Halloween decoration. In our back yard,

We will rebuild!

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The Ventura County Gateway To Hell

I just hate it when the Ventura County Gateway to Hell opens up, especially when the wind is blowing from the west.

The smell of sulphur and brimstone can be horrible!

It was, however, a very cool looking effect for about two minutes at sunset. Timing, as always, is everything in life.

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Filed under Photography, Sunsets, Weather