Monthly Archives: November 2014

Tugs & Forklifts

Today, thanks to some of the other SoCal CAF members who are more involved with the mechanical and greasy side of the operation, I got to get some first-step cross-training on some of the heavier equipment that’s used around the hangers.

My gig is “finance officer,” which means that I keep track of the money. It’s what I’ve done as a paying job for decades, and it makes sense for us to do what we do best in order to help out the most. On the other hand, accounting, finance, and computer tech support are just…well, accounting, finance, and computer tech support. They’re not always (and by “not always” I mean “NEVER”) a lot of fun, they’re just necessary and I do them reasonably well.

But, having gotten my pilot’s license, I know my way around a plane, at least a bit, and would like to do more “hands on” activities. It’s the old “one man’s work is another man’s play” thing, or something like that. Anyway, I’ve let it be known that, time & schedule permitting, I would be open to learning a bit about getting things done outside of the office.

Today some of the guys who run the hanger and maintenance side of things were giving lessons to some of the new cadets on driving the forklift, the tugs, and using the tugs with a tow bar. I was asked if I wanted to participate, and despite being up to my ass in alligators right now with some other things there, I said, “Sure!”

I’ve driven some heavy equipment in the past – my dad grew up on a farm with tractors and such, and when I was a teenager we had a small bulldozer for a couple of years that we used to put in a road on some land we owned in Vermont. I can drive a stick shift (not actually needed for today, surprisingly) and I’ve got something like 1,000,000 miles behind the wheel (literally) in over forty-four years of driving. I was being taught with a couple of cadets who didn’t have their driver’s license yet.

Forklifts are cool and at least today seemed pretty straightforward. Tilt, lift, back, forward, steers from the back, keep an eye on your CG so you don’t flip over, always watch out for things around you… One of the guys who’s been doing this for decades gave a demonstration where he was lifting and turning and tilting and backing and driving and lowering like it was a symphony, doing in about 30 seconds what it had taken me closer to five minutes to do – but that’s just practice, practice, practice. I went through the obstacle course three or four times both forward and backwards and never touched a cone, so that one I felt good about.

On the tugs, we have several of different sizes, some really big, some mid-sized. I drove two of them today being taught by one of our cadets, a smart-as-a-whip, 17 or 18 year old young lady who can drive tugs with the best of them. Driving the tugs alone was pretty straightforward, just a need to get used to how they steer differently and need significantly different amounts of force on the brake and gas pedals.

Then we hooked up a tow bar.

It’s a lot like towing a trailer, except you’re usually not towing, you’re pushing. Which is like towing a trailer backwards while looking in a mirror, or something. Your instincts are all wrong, your turning radius (at least, my turning radius) has gone from about five feet to about thirty feet (Nicole was doing it in about ten) and it’s surprisingly easy to jackknife the tow bar.

The guys who have been doing this forever were having a good time watching me weave all over the place (I still never hit a cone!), going from here to there via there, there, there, there, and there. Pictures were taken, videos will no doubt be popping up on our website soon (I’ll post links if/when that happens), and a good time was had by all. (I believe that some of the cadets were having a good time at my expense because I was being taught by a girl, and a girl a third my age to boot. Let ’em laugh, I got over that particular insecurity in the Nixon administration.)

So there may be more practice necessary before I’m ready to actually hook a planes to the other end of the tow bar. But it will happen, and one of these days when we’ve got five tugs and only two drivers and we’ve got to shuffle planes all over the ramp, I’ll be able to jump in and help.

It will be fun! Until I get asked to come in at 0500 to pull planes out and get them ready to launch or stay until 2350 to put planes away. But on those days I think I might have some bank reconciliation reports to do or some gift shop inventory figures to process…

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Filed under CAF, Flying, Paul

NaNoWriMo 2014, Day Ten

As an example of things that will need to be tinkered with and “made better” in the next draft, the part yesterday where the four commanders are voting on the proposal for independence is not quite there. On the one hand, I want the repetitive, formal, “I agree,” “I agree,” “I agree,” “I agree” cadence, and I want to identify them by their full names and rank. That’s because I want to emphasize the solemnity and gravity (pun intended) of the moment. But it’s still a bit too wooden, needs a bit more to break it up.

Something to address in the next draft. Note made. (You don’t see them, but as I cruise along I’m constantly adding notes and comments into the MS Word file, so that I don’t forget them later.)

While I normally put in a lot of  internal links to previous, related posts here, I won’t be doing that for what I hope will be this year’s thirty NaNoWriMo posts. If you have jumped into or stumbled onto this story in mid-adventure, there are plenty of other ways to navigate around the site to find previous installments. Actually doing so is left as an exercise to the student.

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CHAPTER SIX

Coming in fast toward the thick, orange, and cold hydrocarbon soup that obscured the surface of Titan, the spacecraft’s primary computer listened to the radar, watched as the moon grew in front of it, and monitored all of the systems on its three subsections. The computer wasn’t a full AI, not being self-aware, but it was fast, redundant, and fully capable of carrying out the instructions that its AI mentor had taught it.

It was not a small spacecraft in absolute terms, over three thousand kilograms. Compared to the Cronus, which had launched it ten days earlier, it was a flyspeck. Much of its mass was in fuel, an extremely precious commodity out here a very long way from the nearest service station. The plan was for that fuel to allow the spacecraft to function for many years.

The spacecraft’s main computer checked one last time with the smaller computers on the lander and the floater. It verified one last time that its position was correct, and kept feeding the updated position data to the two subunits. The minutes counted down to seconds and milliseconds.

Right on the mark latches released, springs released their energy, and the two smaller spacecraft flew away from the orbiter. The orbiter took the pictures it had been assigned to take and reported the successful release back to the anxious science team on the Cronus, before reorienting and firing its thrusters for twenty-three seconds. The small nudge moved the orbiter off of its collision course with Titan and onto a path that would just barely miss the top of the atmosphere. With a series of additional engine burns to follow, it would pull into an orbit high over Titan, where it would spend the next decade or more studying and photographing the moon below while also serving as a signal relay station for the two spacecraft on the surface.

The two smaller units waited until the orbiter was well out their way before using a second set of clamp releases and springs to separate from each other. They drifted apart as planned, each lining up for their separate arrivals on Titan.

Following a fiery trip through the thick atmosphere, now separated by over a thousand kilometers, the two probes jettisoned their heat shields and drifted down under large parachutes, collecting data and photos all the way.

The lander scanned the surface below it, looking for a reasonably smooth place to set down. It was landing within the targeted zone away from the lakes and larger hills, but still could be damaged by landing in a field of ice boulders. Picking a landing spot, the lander flew the parachute toward it.

Twenty kilometers above the surface, the lander began to expand and unpack itself. Surrounding the core unit which housed the computer, power supply, radio, antenna, and scientific instruments, a lattice of stiff rods popped open, grew, and stiffened. When finished, the lander looked like a ragged sphere nearly five meters across with a massive core at the center. It looked like nothing so much as a gigantic tumbleweed.

One kilometer up, the lander cut loose from the now useless parachute and fell lightly toward the surface. It landed in a puff of frozen hydrocarbon dust while the parachute drifted off downwind. Breaking lightly through the icy, organic crust but only sinking in a few centimeters, the lander was down safely.

The floater followed a similar route, but instead growing into a large tumbleweed, it expanded a flexible outer shell into a smaller and more solid beach ball shaped form. Sensors on the outside watched to make sure that the probe was coming down into one of the large methane lakes and guided it accordingly. Being careful to watch for floating floes of water ice, frozen hard as diamond, the parachute stayed with the floater until it was only a meter above the surface. Plopping into the frothy, supercold liquid, the floater acquired a high-speed data link with the orbiter and began sending back its findings.

The orbiter would have been pleased had it been an AI, but instead it simply followed its pre-programmed instructions. Atmospheric data and pictures of Titan were taken constantly and the low-gain data links to the lander and the floater were recorded. When the landings were successful and the trickle of data from the surface turned into a flood, the orbiter began recording it all while also sending the data out through its two enormous dish antenna, the first aimed toward Cronus and SaSEM and the second aimed toward Ceres.

The aggressive exploration of Titan had begun.

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Filed under Astronomy, Science Fiction, Space, Writing

Panorama: Dayton, Ohio

I find there’s a lot to like about the American midwest. In particular, I like a lot of things around central Ohio. I like the fall colors. Combine all of that…

This panoramic picture was taken in October, 2009. (Click to enlarge.) My kids had been wonderful enough to send me to a favorite convention (Ohio Valley Filk Fest) in Columbus for my Christmas present. My son was able to meet me there for a great weekend. While there we also went to see the National Museum of the United States Air Force in Dayton, at Wright-Patterson AFB. It was a couple of weeks after the peak fall foliage — that time when it’s not quite all brown yet, but not quite still ablaze in fall colors. The last gasp of fall, with winter on the horizon. (Literally, from the looks of it.)

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This panorama comes from seventeen images of 3888 x 2592 pixels (10 megapixels each) taken with a Canon Rebel XTi DSLR, combined into an image of 37,158 x 2576 pixels (95.7 megapixels).

It was a grey and gloomy day, and shows well just how flat it can be in this part of the country. Get up on a bluff that’s a hundred feet high and you can just about see into the next state. I might end up liking some place like Ohio, Indiana, or Illinois, but I might miss the mountains at the same time.

 

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Filed under Family, Panorama, Photography, Travel, Weather

NaNoWriMo 2014, Day Nine

That’s more like it.

While I normally put in a lot of  internal links to previous, related posts here, I won’t be doing that for what I hope will be this year’s thirty NaNoWriMo posts. If you have jumped into or stumbled onto this story in mid-adventure, there are plenty of other ways to navigate around the site to find previous installments. Actually doing so is left as an exercise to the student.

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CHAPTER FIVE

“Put them up on the wall as they connect, please.”

Immediately two windows opened up, showing meeting rooms on the LEO Terminus and on O’Neill. In a few seconds, two more windows opened, connecting everyone to Goddard and Tranquility. In each view were the commanders and chief executives of the respective stations and colonies.

“Ladies and gentlemen,” Pawley started, looking at everyone in the four windows, “we all know each other. We’ve all worked together for years, sometimes decades. We all trust each other. Now we’re all going to have to act together to save ourselves, depending on each other for our mutual survival.

“Our time has run out. You all have the information on the contamination and deaths on SpaceChem Echo. We’ve looked at this possible situation ever since it became clear that the AHF crisis on Earth was getting out of control. The time is here for us to act if we are to survive and avoid being dragged down with them. I am proposing that we immediately implement our Emergency Plan to cut ourselves off from Earth.”

He stopped and waited for the responses. After the usual three-second delay, there were various looks of resignation, sorrow, and exhaustion, but no one appeared to be surprised or shocked. Heads that weren’t bowed under the weight of the decision were nodding in agreement.

“Mike, you know that this only buys us a little bit of time,” said the Goddard Chief Executive. “We can declare independence all day long but we can’t survive independently. All of us still rely on Earth for at least some of our food, materials, and manufactured goods, especially the high tech equipment. None of us are a closed loop ecosystem.”

“Ari, that’s true, as it’s always been,” said the O’Neill COO, “but it’s also true that there are no other options at this point. We quite literally have no choice other than to take our chances on making ourselves self-sufficient. We can buy ourselves as many months or years as we can, or we can die from this disease in days or weeks. Our only chance is to unite and face the fact that we’re on our own.”

“Within only a few weeks there won’t be anyone left down on Earth with the capability to send anything to us anyway,” said the Tranquility Chief Executive. “The number of shipments has dwindled to a trickle already and now we can’t trust the supplies we’re getting anyway. I don’t know if we’re in better shape or worse than the poor bastards on the ground, but at least we get to face our problems head on. Well, we’ll have that option as long as we don’t allow their disease to contaminate us.”

“Very well then, I move that we proceed immediately,” Pawley said. “Are there any final comments or objections? We need your official agreement or disagreement for the record.”

“I agree,” said Ari Gonzalez, Chief Executive from Goddard. “God help us, we’re going to need it.”

“I agree,” said Ken Squires, COO of O’Neill.

“I agree,” said Klaus Schwiger, Chief Executive from Tranquility. “We’re caught between a rock and a hard place.”

“I agree,” said Alexa Garcia, LEO Terminus Station commander. “It’s going to get ugly here quickly. The best defense is a good offense.”

“That makes the current vote five in favor and none opposed,” said Pawley. He leaned forward and looked directly into the camera on his desk. “Pavel and Anya, Jean, I’m sorry that we haven’t had time to include you in the preliminary discussions, but obviously things are happening very quickly here. Please review what we’ve just discussed and join us immediately with any comments for the record, as well as your votes. We’ll keep the discussion going here while we wait for your reply.”

Pawley leaned back in his chair. “DEBBIE, what’s the delay time to Mars and Ceres?”

“Commander Pawley, the round-trip delay to Mars is currently twenty-two minutes and ten seconds. The round-trip delay to Ceres is twenty-seven minutes and five seconds.”

“Thank you.” Pawley looked back at the four open windows on his wall. “Let’s assume for the moment that this will be unanimous. We have an immediate situation to take care of with the infected crew that’s trying to get into SpaceChem Delta. Sarah, what do we need to do and Neil, how do we do it?”

“There’s no way that we can allow that crew onto another station,” said Sarah. “It won’t save them, and it will doom at least seventy-five percent of the people on the newly infected station. Their only option is to go back down to land somewhere on Earth, but I don’t know what the details of that option might be.”

“The pod they’re in does have re-entry capability,” Neil said, “although they might have limited options for where to land if the ground-based guidance systems are starting to fail. The pod will have emergency backup procedures to land autonomously at a major spaceport, or it can soft land by parachute if everything else fails.”

“Do we know who exactly the survivors are and where they’re from?” asked Alexa. “If we can give them some reasonable options it will be easier to deal with them.”

“The three crew members onboard the pod are all from the United States,” said DEBBIE. “Florida, Maryland, and Kansas are listed as the home addresses for their closest family.”

“So there are your options,” said Ken. “Send them in to Brownsville, White Sands, or Topeka, which will give them emergency abort options that will land them east of the Rockies somewhere. They survived the outbreak in their station so they’re likely to be immune. Knowing that, they can deal with the situation on the ground as best they can.”

“And what if they don’t agree to go down?” Amanda asked. “The fact that they went to Delta instead of simply going down to begin with indicates that they either are totally panicked and irrational now, or they just don’t care about the regulations now that they’re the ones who could die as a result.”

“That’s not an option for them,” Neil said. “They can go down or they can face the consequences. If they try anything that might spread this outbreak, we will have to stop them, by the deployment of force if necessary.”

“Do you have that capability at either GEO or LEO?” asked Klaus. “If you’re going to start a war, you shouldn’t be bluffing.”

“We’re not starting a war. Everyone talks about this as if it is some kind of military action,” Amanda said. “It’s critical that we keep in mind the fundamental difference between military actions and police actions. Police actions are taken by society against internal threats in order to protect the members of that society. Military actions are taken against outside threats. Police actions are taken to protect, and should be undertaken with the goal of using minimal force to inflict minimal damage and casualties. Military actions are taken to defend, and often involve significant or maximum amounts of both force and damage. None of us will survive a military action, which would involve our colonies and stations fighting against Earth or against each other. Police actions may regrettably be necessary in order to protect us all from internal cancers.”

“I stand corrected, my apologies,” said Klaus in the awkward silence that followed. “But the question remains. Can we stop them if they won’t obey the order to go down?”

Neil considered his response for a few seconds, before simply saying, “Yes, we believe we can. We’ll see.”

“Anything else before we tackle this one?” Pawley asked. “No, okay, Sarah and Neil, you’re we me on this one. Everyone else, please stand by and monitor, if you have anything to add, send it through DEBBIE. DEBBIE, please put us in contact with the rogue pod that’s docked at SpaceChem Delta.”

As DEBBIE made the connections, the four open windows on the wall diminished in size and a large window opened next to them. In a second a picture flickered to life there, showing a cramped cabin and three people wearing jumpsuits. They hadn’t even taken the time to grab pressure suits.

“Escape pod crew, this is Michael Pawley from GEO. I’m here with Sarah Teffeau, the GEO Surgeon General and other staff. I understand that there has been an emergency and an AHF outbreak at Echo. Can you tell us what happened?”

The three occupants of the pod turned around in the air and pulled themselves in front of the control panel where the comm unit was located. The man and two women looked sweaty and flushed, but otherwise healthy. The older woman with her hair pulled back in a long pony tail answered.

“GEO, this is Marybeth Sullivan of SpaceChem Echo station. The three of us are the last survivors of Echo after the quarantine protocols were breached. We need help. Everyone back on Echo is dead, they won’t let us in here on Delta.”

“Marybeth, this is Sarah, I’m a doctor. Do any of you have any AHF symptoms or other medical problems?”

“No ma’am, we’re all okay.”

“But all of you were exposed to AHF back on Echo? How do you know that’s what it was? What happened to the rest of your crewmates?”

“They’re all dead, like I said, we’re the only survivors. I can confirm that all fifteen were dead and showed every sign of it being AHF, the symptoms matched all of the ones described in the news from Earth.”

“Marybeth, do you know how you got exposed?” Pawley asked. “Were all of the protocols for disinfection and isolation followed?”

“I don’t know, none of us were involved with taking care of the supplies from the new shipment. The guys who did that are dead. I just know that the drone docked, they did what they had to to get it opened up, and an hour or two later everyone started to vomit and choke, running a high fever, then convulsions and bleeding, then they were dead.”

“So you were directly exposed?” asked Sarah.

“Yeah, it’s a small station, just eighteen of us. Of course we were all exposed.”

There was a pause as the three GEO leaders glanced at each other, silently calculating who was going to take the discussion next.

“Marybeth,” said Pawley, “are you familiar with the current regulations regarding your situation? Has SpaceChem kept you all up to date on how a situation like this needs to be handled from here?”

“Not really, we’re techs and engineers, not pilots. Davis and Gurney would have been the people on Echo to handle that, but they’re dead. The guys we’ve been talking to here at Delta won’t open the hatch, but they haven’t told us why. It’s getting us pretty pissed  to tell you the truth.”

“Marybeth,” said Sarah, “I’ll be blunt. You’ve been exposed to AHF. The three of you appear to be in the minority, people that have a natural immunity. It’s  just like how some people don’t get a cold or the flu when it’s going around and everyone else gets it. But you’re AHF carriers now, even if it’s not making you sick. You have the virus and will spread it to anyone you come in contact with. The crew on Delta won’t open the hatch because almost all of them will die if they do. You will kill them.”

There was a stunned silence from the escape pod. As he realized what their situation was, the man in the pod began to get angry, banging his fist against a wall panel, an action that sent him spinning backwards across the cabin. His outburst shook the two woman out of their shock and they pushed off to grab and restrain him, screaming at him to get his attention. Slowly the situation calmed.

“Commander Pawley,” DEBBIE said quietly, “a message from Pavel Levieva and Anya Kapoor is coming in.”

“Record and hold it, DEBBIE.”

“Yes, sir.”

Marybeth was back at the comm panel, trying hard to stay calm. “So the disease didn’t kill us but now you’re just going to let us die here, is that it? Isn’t there any place where we can be cleaned, decontaminated, sterilized, or whatever? There have got to be other options.”

“There are no facilities on orbit that can handle you, Marybeth,” Pawley said. “That’s why the quarantine and isolation restrictions have been so strict. There is one option you have. The escape pod you’re in has re-entry capability. We can control it and put you down somewhere in central North America.”

“You’re kidding,” Marybeth said. “Right? You’ve seen what it’s like down there! Everyone’s dying, everything’s falling apart. They’re starving, rioting, it’s total chaos. That’s a death sentence too!”

“Not necessarily,” Pawley said. “Things are bad there, but you’re immune to AHF, you’ve been exposed and survived. You have a lot of technical skills that they’re going to need down there to rebuild. We can get you down and then it’s up to you to find a way to survive, but at least it’s not an immediate death sentence.”

“What are the other options?” Marybeth asked.

“There are none,” Neil said. “The situation is cut and dried, I’m afraid. You can not be allowed to stay on orbit where you are an immediate danger to anyone and everyone you come in contact with. You must go planetside immediately.”

“And if we don’t?” Marybeth’s angry crewmate asked.

“You have nowhere else to go. Delta’s not going to let you in. If you try to go someplace else, they will not let you in. If you try to do something irrational that puts others in danger, we will stop you. That will probably result in your deaths. You need to think this through, calm down, and head to the ground to take your best shot. I’m sorry, but there isn’t any other way.”

The three survivors pulled away from the comm panel of the pod  and could be seen huddled in conversation. It didn’t look like a calm conversation. Finally Marybeth came back over, leaving her two companions still in an agitated discussion.

“So we go down and maybe die tomorrow or later, or we stay up here and die today? You don’t give us much choice, do you? What do we need to do to land? None of us are pilots.”

There was an audible sigh of relief in the GEO office. No one had wanted their first act as an independent government to be an execution.

“You need to turn over control of your pod to one of our AIs,” Pawley said. “They’ll work with you to figure out the best place to put you down and how to time it to give you whatever advantages we can. Then they’ll fly your pod remotely. Are you ready to do that?”

“Not really, but we’ll do it anyway.”

“DEBBIE, will you please take over and do as I’ve described? If you have any questions or if anything needs to be handled at this end, please refer it to Neil. Marybeth, good luck to you and your crew.”

The conversation cut off.

“Commander Pawley,” DEBBIE said, “a message from Jean Duris is coming in.”

“Good. Is everyone else still there?” The four other windows expanded to show their various offices and meeting rooms, all still occupied by the other colony and station leaders and their staffs.

“DEBBIE, give us the messages, the ones from Pavel and Anya first.”

A fifth, sixth, and seventh windows opened, two with still images and the third showing a tiny, cramped office with a pair of old and weathered men seated at a tiny desk.

“We have nothing to add from Bradbury. So far things are still calm here, but we agree completely with Ari. None of us are living in a closed loop environment. Without resupply from Earth, it’s just a matter of time before we crash and burn. That’s got to be our first and top priority. But we’ve talked about that. I agree that we have to proceed. Levieva out.”

The image in that window froze and the next one came to life. “We agree with you at Heinlein, we have no choice but to proceed. Kapoor, out.” She never had been one for long speeches.

The final window started showing its message, originating in what looked like a cave of some sort. “Mike, Alexa, Ari, Klaus, and Ken, you all of course have my agreement that we’re on our own now and we must act accordingly. Let’s not screw it up, it’s awfully cold and dark out here, a miserable place to starve to death. Ceres, out.”

There was a pause as everyone on the conference call looked at one another, weighing what they had just done.

“Let’s do it, Mike,” said Ari. “You’re the boss now. Tell the troops what we’re doing. It’s time to get it done or die trying. Someone stole our safety net, so we’re going to have to make do.”

“DEBBIE,” Pawley said, “set up a broadcast to all stations and colonies as well as the various Earth headquarters locations that we’re still in contact with. We’ll start in ten minutes. Meanwhile, first I think I need to go throw up.”

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Celebrate! ‘Cause, Why Not?

Hey, as we speak, the Expedition 40/41 crew is headed down from the International Space Station!

In less than 72 hours, on Tuesday, November 12th, the Philea lander will separate from the Rosetta spacecraft and land on a comet, a first for humankind! (And you’ll be able to watch it online here, and also [I believe] on NASA-TV.) It should be amazing!

On November 18th and 19th, I’ll be at a NASA Social at the NASA Armstrong Flight Research Center! You can catch all of my pictures, comments, and articles here and on Twitter. (Also Facebook, but relatively few of you reading this connect to me there. But if you do, HI!)

On November 23rd, the Expedition 42/43 crew will be headed up to bring the ISS crew back to six!

On December 4th, NASA’s new Orion spacecraft will be making its first uncrewed test flight! (No word yet on whether or not I got picked for the NASA Social at JPL for that – fingers crossed!)

So we’re finishing the year strong, despite a couple of recent problems. Time to celebrate!

How about some basic rocketry that goes back over 900 years?

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Filed under Astronomy, Fireworks, Photography, Space

NaNoWriMo 2014, Day Eight

I’m thinking (or feeling, which might be more important) that the reason this story is limping along like a Ferrari with seven blown cylinders is that I have yet to allow myself to relax, cut loose, and let it flow. (Anyone making the obvious constipation jokes will be sent to the corner for a timeout.)

Last year’s story was a wild ride, and I had been thinking (a 45-minute commute each way to the hanger is a great time to think) that it was because last year’s story was a comedy where this year is a drama. But it just occurs to me that last year’s story was just as much of a drama as this one, no comedy. It’s the other story (the still-being-worked-on 2012 NaNoWriMo story) that’s turning into a wackadoodle comedy.

So why the difference? I thought I had it, but apparently not. Could it be that last year’s story was “fun” and totally “fantasy-ish” while still being set in our current world? It did allow me to throw out any off the wall BS I could come up with, at least to a certain extent. Where this story is more “hard” science fiction, precise, serious.

Who know? Perhaps I should cut off the paralysis by analysis and relax, cut loose, and let it flow.

While I normally put in a lot of  internal links to previous, related posts here, I won’t be doing that for what I hope will be this year’s thirty NaNoWriMo posts. If you have jumped into or stumbled onto this story in mid-adventure, there are plenty of other ways to navigate around the site to find previous installments. Actually doing so is left as an exercise to the student.

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CHAPTER FOUR (continued)

Neil Hermans was the first one to get there. He hadn’t been running – that would have been a good way to get people even more nervous than they already were. But he hadn’t been taking his time either.

“Hello, Neil. You got the latest news?” asked Pawley.

“Yeah, DEBBIE gave it to me on the way over. It looks like we’re going out of the frying pan and into the fire, whether we like it or not.”

“I don’t know that we can do anything about the fire, but for the moment let’s just try to stay here in the frying pan for a while. But this could get ugly really quickly if people start to lose it. We’re going to head that off fast and hard. Are you and your crew ready?”

“Obviously not, but we’ll do the best we can with what little we have. We do have a couple of aces to play if it comes to that, but everyone’s worked really hard for two hundred years to make sure that no one can do what we’re going to need to do.”

“Don’t underestimate the damage you might do if you pull one of those aces out of your sleeve,” said Amanda as she came in and sat down in the office’s last chair. “People up here have always been a different breed than the ground pounders, but there are certain lines that have never been crossed. Neil’s right about how much has work and thought has gone into keeping us weapons free. That’s Pandora’s Box that you’ll be opening.”

“I remember,” said Pawley. “We’ve gone over this. But if push comes to shove, that could be the lesser of the two evils.”

“It’s still evil,” said Sarah.

“Now that we’ve beaten that horse again, what options do we actually have if we need them?”

Neil sighed. “If it’s a single small ship or even a handful of them that are the problem, we can probably take action against them with a reasonable chance of success. But that will only be for a day or two after we first have to use force. The element of surprise will be a huge part of our plans. Once everyone knows that we’re serious and will act, maybe it will get them to stop doing things that might leave us with no other good options. And if it’s dozens of ships, things can fall apart pretty fast.”

“Worst case, if we lose all control here in GEO and LEO, what happens if anyone tries to get to O’Neill, Goddard, or one of the other colonies? Can they defend themselves to keep their isolation intact?”

“We’re not privy to any preparations they might be making,” Neil said, “but my assumption would be that they’re making them. An awful lot of what we do out here involves manipulating huge amounts of energy very carefully, which is a good first-order approximation for the definition of a weapon.”

“Right,” Pawley said. “While we have to be prepared for the worst case scenario, we also have to do everything we can to keep everyone working toward a best case scenario, even when ‘best’ might be a purely relative term. We always believe that we’re a cut above and won’t give in to panic like they have down below, but that’s an ideal that is rarely tested up here. There are no guarantees that it will always be the case when individuals are looking at choices between bad and very bad.”

“DEBBIE, what are the current estimates from the AI strategy team showing about our longevity if we isolate ourselves?”

“Commander Pawley, given our current resources for materials, personnel, energy, and manufacturing, the best estimate is that there is less than a three percent chance of being able to successfully transition to a fully independent society free of all physical contact with Earth. The most likely outcome will allow most colonies to survive less than ten years, while statistically a few may last twice that long.”

“DEBBIE, what are the estimates of our ability to survive exposure to the current disease if we maintain contact with Earth?”

“Commander Pawley, given the updated information coming from the SpaceChem Echo station, any system of stations that attempt to continue physical interactions with spacecraft from Earth will be destroyed in less than a year. However, that point is moot since it is estimated that no ground-based institutions will be able to maintain the capability of launching spacecraft or cargo for more than another six weeks.”

“It’s the same math as it’s been for the past six months,” Amanda said. “We can die from disease in a month or we can die from starvation and hypoxia in a year.”

“Or we can get our asses in gear and at least go down fighting,” Neil said. “But we’re going to have to do it as a group. The survival forecasting models all make the assumption that all of the colonies, stations, and ships work together for their mutual benefit. It’s suicide to fracture apart and split up into individual efforts.”

“But everyone knows that,” said Sarah. “So far we’ve managed to not have any major institutional rivalries off-Earth. We’ve got a history of cooperation.”

“No,” said Pawley, “we have a history of being able to staying out of each other’s way, while all being subsidized by different ground-based economies. While the different energy, manufacturing, and tourist companies have all had their own cooperation and competition agreements, for the most part everyone knows that we’re all in an unforgiving environment to begin with. One way or the other, we’re all living in glass houses, so we don’t throw many rocks. But look at the early competition to get to the moon, and then the international issues with GEO slots once they became the first rare commodity up here.”

“True,” said Amanda, “but nothing like that has happened in over forty years, despite the occasional spat or pissing contest.”

“It might take a lot longer than forty years to forget a hundred thousand years of aggression,” said Neil. “I hope we can do it, not like we have any choice.”

“Commander, the other Council members are coming online,” DEBBIE said.

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Saturday Night, Mind Adrift

If we knew then what we know (or think we know) now, would we change things?

If we knew then what we know now, would we be amazed at all of the wonderful things in the now that we take for granted while we’re trying to send a warning about all of the negative things that we’re so focused on?

What is there today that our 10-years-from-now selves would like us to know?

How do we listen for that message from our 10-years-from-now selves?

Which would be more useful, a warning about an upcoming crisis in order to help us avoid it, or a message of hope and joy in order to help us through the dark nights?

Again, if the latter and we can think of joyful messages to send back even if today is dark, what kinds of hopeful messages might there be for us down the road, even if we can’t see them now?

If you couldn’t give a message to your own past self, but you could to another, who would you communicate with and what would you tell them?

Part of this train of thought comes from an article the other day about the common SF theme of using a time machine to go back to see the dinosaurs, which ignores that the planet’s atmosphere back then (depending on when you go back to) could have been quite toxic to us.

Similarly, say for example that you recently met someone, fell in love, and wished that you could have met that person twenty years ago, in order to have all of those extra years together. The problem is that the you of twenty years ago isn’t the same person as the you of today, and the lover of twenty years ago isn’t the same person as the you of today, so even if you did meet, it wouldn’t be the same. You would not connect the same way.

Shaking off my post-dinner reverie, I feel like there could be a country song in there somewhere. Wait, someone beat me to it…

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NaNoWriMo 2014, Day Seven

One thing I’ve noticed in several of the long-form writing efforts that I’ve tried is that I get two or three good chapters of dialog and action, and then go completely off into left field by throwing in a chapter of 100% exposition, before going back to actual storytelling. I’m not sure if it’s impatience or laziness (or a little of both), but the next draft has to fix it every time.

“Show, don’t tell,” is the standard instruction. You need to be able to craft your story to fill in whatever background you need by making it a part of the ongoing story, not by setting aside the story for a chapter and then jumping back in.

But now that I’ve done that scene and that scene to set the stage and I need to get to that scene to move the story along from here, we’ll finish our awkward chapter of exposition, while silently mulling over ideas on how to fix it in the next draft. Re-write it as several new scenes/chapters to do a more thorough job of laying the foundation for the story while simultaneously not being long winded and boring? Or drop it completely and rework everything else in the entire book to fill in background as it’s needed?

LATE EDIT: Oh, the hell with it. Later on (maybe after NaNoWriMo, or do I have to do it now?) I’ll rewrite the first half of this chapter to not be all expository and introduce new characters. Let’s make what was supposed to be the second half of Chapter Three into Chapter Four and do it right. Or at least, better. (That tapping sound you hear is my muse, over in the corner of my brain, giving me “The Look”, arms folded, glaring, tapping her foot impatiently. Yes, ma’am. I’m writing now, ma’am. Yes, I know better, your worshipfulness. I’ll do this part correctly, your wonderfulness.)

LATER EDIT: Yeah, this will work. Not many actual words tonight, with the introduction of new characters, places, and situations, it was slow going tonight, not many words, but a lot of structural stuff in my own head, knowing what needs to come next (acting out all of that exposition crap), so it should start coming more easily after this. I hope.

While I normally put in a lot of  internal links to previous, related posts here, I won’t be doing that for what I hope will be this year’s thirty NaNoWriMo posts. If you have jumped into or stumbled onto this story in mid-adventure, there are plenty of other ways to navigate around the site to find previous installments. Actually doing so is left as an exercise to the student.

2014-11-07 Word Count Graphic

CHAPTER FOUR

“Commander Pawley, Doctor Teffeau needs to talk to you,” DEBBIE said. “She says it’s extremely urgent.”

“Put her through.”

“She’s on her way to see you now. She’ll be there in three minutes.”

That can’t be good, Pawley thought. “Okay, send her in when she gets here. Hold everything else unless it’s an actual emergency.”

“Yes, sir. Doctor Teffeau in, everything else on hold.”

Pawley quickly went through all of the files and windows open on his screen and saved, closed, forwarded, or deleted as needed. If the Surgeon General was coming here personally to give him news, it might be a while before he got back to any of the more routine things.

With a brief knock on the door, she strode in lightly and sat down in a chair across from his desk. The look on her face verified Pawley’s suspicions about the nature of her visit.

“We’ve got our first infestation,” Teffeau said without preamble, “a LEO maintenance & fuel depot run by SpaceChem, SpaceChem Echo. It looks like they just got a supply ship in and something in it was contaminated.”

“What happened to the quarantine protocols? How did the virus get past those?”

“Best guess is that the protocols weren’t followed to the letter. We knew that this would happen. It doesn’t matter how bad the news is from down below, or how untrustworthy and slipshod the decon work at Quito, Nanyuki, and Bontang is getting. You can put procedures in place until you’re blue in the face, but sooner or later someone’s going to be bored, or in a hurry, or absentminded, and the shit’s going to hit the fan. Today’s that day.”

“How many people are on that station?” Pawley asked.

“Eighteen, and it’s ‘were on,’ not ‘are on.’”

“They all died?”

“No, just fifteen of them. The other three weren’t showing symptoms so they panicked and got into a pod, abandoned the station.”

“Please tell me they went down.”

“With all of the news reports showing what’s going on down there? They went to another SpaceChem station.”

“In direct violation of the most basic rule we have for this situation. What in hell were they thinking? They know that no one will let them dock and contaminate themselves. Wait, no one let them dock, right?”

“Yes and no,” Teffeau said. “SpaceChem Delta told them to stand off and wait for instructions, but when they couldn’t raise anyone on the ground, they let them dock. But they’ve got the hatches still sealed, so now they’re asking us for help and instructions.”

“You said they couldn’t raise anyone at SpaceChem for instructions. Why not? DEBBIE, can you please get in touch with SpaceChem for me?”

“Working on that, Commander Pawley.”

“We’ve talked about this, Mike,” Teffau said. “The outer system AIs called it when the India and Pakistan thing blew up. All of the big, strategy-oriented systems are out there, but none of the human strategists here have disagreed. I know it sucks to be the one with your finger on the button, but it’s time to cut the cord, while we can.”

Pawley sat silently for a few seconds, staring absently at the wall, lost in thought. “DEBBIE, any luck getting anyone at SpaceChem?” he finally asked.

“No, sir. There are no responses through their normal communications channels. I have attempted to contact the AI at their primary processing facility in Indonesia, but those communications lines appear to be down as well. I am hearing from other, smaller AIs in the region that there are large civil disturbances throughout the area.”

“Thank you. DEBBIE, please send the information that Doctor Teffeau just gave to me to the other members of the Council. Tell them that I’m calling an emergency session for one hour from now, all need to be online. Then tell Amanda and Neil that I need to see them immediately.”

“Yes sir, sending those messages. Stand by. Amanda Louise and Neil Hermans are en route to your office.”

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Gremlins Or Situational Blindness?

Either the brain is a weird thing or there really are gremlins. Or house elves. Or pixies. I always get them mixed up.

It’s not like I really believe in supernatural critters. My degree is in physics, not psychics; I studied astronomy, not astrology; cosmology, not cosmetology. (You laugh, but working the swing shift for room service in college, I was studying one slow night when a cocktail waitress saw the title on my textbook and asked if I would do her hair.)

But I had this thing, a DVD I had burned, when all of a sudden as I needed it a day or two later it was gone. Start retracing my steps, looking high and low, but nothing found.

Look on my desk, on all of the bookshelves, in the living room, in the kitchen… Hell, I even looked in the bathrooms.

Maybe it fell down behind something. Maybe it just got put down someplace totally unexpected when the phone rang or some other distraction came up. Maybe it got mislabeled in a moment of stupidity and filed into the Twilight Zone.

No joy.

Okay, tear apart the desk and the stuff on the bookshelves where it should be and stay focused. Look, look again, don’t get distracted. Start looking into “what if” scenarios that are silly, but when you’ve eliminated the impossible, whatever’s left…

Nada.

Start going through that big stack of recent DVDs to see if it got mislabeled. Time consuming when i would prefer to spend that time doing something else, like writing, or even catching up on some sleep.

Zip.

Finally I gave up. Went hunting online, tracked down some substitute material for a work-around. It was really late, I was getting punchy, so I just saved the files and would burn a new DVD in the morning.

(Wait for it…)

The next morning, as I walk by the same shelf next to my desk that I had searched a dozen times in the previous few days, there was a DVD case, face down. Turn it over and it’s (of course) the lost DVD.

How is it conceivable that I searched that location repeatedly and missed it sitting in plain sight?

Was it the house gremlins having some fun with me?

I like that explanation far better than the logical alternative, which is that I’m a serial doofuss and either losing it or showing signs of early onset Alzheimer’s.

Vision, optical illusions, and perception tricks and foibles have always interested me, so I know this type of weird behavior happens. I just wished that it didn’t happen to me.

Maybe it was just the house elves being mischievous. Maybe they’re just pissed because I keep getting them mixed up with the gnomes, trolls, pixies, and gremlins.

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NaNoWriMo 2014, Day Six

While I normally put in a lot of  internal links to previous, related posts here, I won’t be doing that for what I hope will be this year’s thirty NaNoWriMo posts. If you have jumped into or stumbled onto this story in mid-adventure, there are plenty of other ways to navigate around the site to find previous installments. Actually doing so is left as an exercise to the student.

Sooooooooo sleepy. Good thing that a keyboard isn’t considered “heavy equipment,” if you know what I mean.

2014-11-06 Word Count Graphic

CHAPTER THREE

Over the next week the news reports and images coming from Earth got progressively worse. The march of the Airborne Hemorrhagic Fever through humanity’s ranks continued unabated, the geometric increase in casualties surging past anyone’s ability to keep count. What AHF didn’t kill, desperate, panicked survivors did.

In the industrialized world, overnight transportation from anywhere to anywhere led to the spread of the virus to every major city on the planet in less than three months. The governments couldn’t get ahead of the crisis. When they shut down air travel, the virus was spread by refugees traveling in cars. When they declared martial law and shut down the highways, people fled infected areas on foot across the countryside, with nothing but the clothes on their backs and what they could carry.

The systems that held society together began collapsing. When global transport was shut down, companies started to fail. Unemployment reached historical highs. When interstate travel was shut down, the food stopped flowing to the cities.

Hospitals, police, and fire departments found themselves to be the first decimated. They were the first exposed en masse to AHF, the first to discover the 80% fatality rate of the disease, and the first to realize how hopeless this battle might be.

Even those with jobs stopped going to work. The millions to be made in the stock market weren’t worth the risk of being exposed to a four-in-five chance of death, which would almost certainly doom your family as well. Schools closed, stores closed, factories closed. Everyone was shocked by how quickly the only people on the street were the military and the looters.

Martial law was declared worldwide, with varying degrees of enforcement success. In some regions it was ignored and the military itself disintegrated as nearly everyone went home to their families in a frantic scramble to find some place safe. In other countries, the situation actually stabilized, the military being able to restore order, set up basic systems for distributing food and aid, and conscripting those it needed as necessary to maintain the ranks.

In underdeveloped countries, where there was little to no global travel to bring infections in, there was a delay before the first AHF cases were seen in some locales. Everyone shut their borders and hunkered down. But it only took one or two infected carriers to accidentally break the quarantine.

Once quarantine was broken, the crowded and impoverished conditions in many third world cities were like gasoline-soaked tinder, waiting for the spark from the first AHF carrier. With a more densely packed population with fewer opportunities to flee or hide, the death rates soared to astronomical heights.

A few places were able to isolate themselves thoroughly enough and wipe out the few existing outbreaks so aggressively that they got on top of the crisis, and then tried to stay there. Living on an island was an advantage, which the Wellington and Reykjavik governments leveraged, mercilessly enforcing their isolationism with extreme and immediate force. Basic principles of human rights were abandoned in favor of survival at all costs. It was totalitarian to the extreme, but the “New Zealand strategy” worked better than anything else did.

Researchers around the world worked ceaselessly to try to find a vaccine or a cure for AHF. They were hampered by the way the virus could mutate quickly, retaining its virulence while dodging all attempts to find a weak spot that could stop it. More nimble than the flu virus in branching into dozens of different strains, more deadly than the previous century’s Ebola virus had ever become, AHF was not playing by the old rules.

Those who survived the battle with AHF were both treasured by researchers and feared by the public. Even though they had recovered, were they still contagious? Could they be re-infected by a new strain of AHF, or did they now have immunity? What about people who had clearly been exposed, often repeatedly, but had never come down with the disease? Was there a common link between those naturally immune, and could it be utilized and passed on to others?

The unusual and unique nature of the AHF virus and the speed at which it had initially spread led to an endless stream of unsubstantiated rumors. The most common was some variation on the idea that AHF was an engineered virus, created in a secret lab by terrorists and deliberately spread to kill as many as possible. The problem with the rumor was that no group had ever taken credit for such a horrific act, and there was no biological evidence to support the theory.

Others were convinced that aliens, monsters, or God had decided to wipe out Mankind. Prayer didn’t prove to be any protection against AHF, nor did Ouija boards

With the entire world cracking at the seams, the Pakistan-India war could have been a knockout blow. But because the whole world was already locked into isolationist hysteria, the immediate effects were not felt worldwide. The invasion of infected refugees from Pakistan into India shattered the fragile equilibrium which the Indian government had fought so hard to maintain. The casualties skyrocketed on the subcontinent, but it made little difference to the rest of the world. They all had their hands full with their own crises.

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